Pipes, president of the Pacific Research Institute, writes that Massachusetts' new health care plan, which includes a mandate for consumers to buy health insurance, is already showing signs of being far more expensive for the state (and consumers) than it was originally billed.
Reality fully hit in late January of this year, when private insurers submitted bids to the bureaucracy that would administer the new program. The average premium for the unsubsidized plans was not $200 per monthas Mr. Romney promised from the stumpbut rather $380. That's more than 15% of the target audiences' incomeand for a plan with a $2,000 deductible and a total cost sharing of $5,000. People were stunned, outraged. Naturally, "greedy" private insurers were blamed. Politicians called for price controls.
Interestingly, monthly premiums of $325 were forecast by insurers cited in an April 6, 2006 article in the Boston Globe entitled "Health Bill Premiums May Exceed Prediction." At the time, Romney administration consultant and MIT economist Jonathan Gruber, who helped design the plan and now advises the bureaucracy, dismissed the predictions.
There's a slim chance that the new Democratic governor Deval Patrick and the Democratic legislature will implement this plan and enforce the mandate. But if they do, an individual with a $30,000 income would be on the hook for 32% of his or her income before being fully covered by insurance. Yet there is an equally small chance that the politicians will deregulate the state's insurance market.
Regulators are however settling in comfortably to their jobs, dictating healthinsurance design by creating the standards for Minimum Creditable Coverage (MCC) that individuals must meet to avoid paying the fine. If these standards are implemented, they would render illegal roughly 200,000 highdeductible policies currently in forceexactly the sort of insurance that makes sense for the selfemployed and young individuals.
Meanwhile, California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger has introduced an even more comprehensive plan to guarantee universal coverage. The $12 billion plan includes individual and employer mandates, expansion of MediCal and Healthy Families, and a tax on doctors and hospitals. If enacted, Californians will face higher taxes, a much larger bureaucracy and increased spending. And I predict the problem of the uninsured will not be solved.